Hi Kaj,
I presented the PESTLE Analysis to the Board having collated the factors
internally among staff.
For those unfamiliar with PESTLE Analysis, it's basically identification
of factors in six areas that might impact an organisation's strategy or
business in the coming years. It's intended to give an idea of the
environment we'll have to operate in going forward. There are lots of
references online but the wikipedia page on this is a good starting point:
https://eur01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fen.wikipedia.org%2Fwiki%2FPEST_analysis&data=05%7C01%7C%7Cc413fba297144f5f1c3e08dbd5394ff9%7Cd0b71c570f9b4acc923b81d0b26b55b3%7C0%7C0%7C638338214371024002%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C7000%7C%7C%7C&sdata=NgiArqfUV0%2Fttphf2xtaL5gO0T%2FPb%2BrAl7PkYGkS90s%3D&reserved=0
The presentation I gave to the Board listed the common factors
identified and it's worth noting that the list presented was not
exhaustive - many more factors were identified by staff but the
presentation gave the most common factors. If you think we miss anything
important, feel free to let us know. For comparison, the summary of the
analysis we did in 2021 when we made the strategic plan can be found on
page 5 of the RIPE NCC Strategy 2022-2026:
https://eur01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ripe.net%2Fpublications%2Fdocs%2Fripe-774&data=05%7C01%7C%7Cc413fba297144f5f1c3e08dbd5394ff9%7Cd0b71c570f9b4acc923b81d0b26b55b3%7C0%7C0%7C638338214371024002%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C7000%7C%7C%7C&sdata=oNREKh6i6BjRQcYRTY6VPvVINVf7LymA1%2Fs%2BBqRfv%2Bo%3D&reserved=0
Here is what I presented in plaintext in case anyone wants to comment on
them in the mail thread...
All the best,
Fergal Cunningham
Head of Membership Engagement
RIPE NCC
** Political
- The Russia-Ukraine war and factors arising from that, as well as
geopolitical conflicts more generally, and cyberspace increasingly being
a front in these conflicts
- Sanctions (Russia, Iran, Syria), energy costs and inflation impacting
our ability to do business with all parts of our service region
- NL and EU legislating in a way that affects our operations
- Environmental issues driving political instability and conflict
- Authoritarianism is seen by many as a potential issue, especially in
terms of countries seeking to gain more control over the Internet
- Trend towards mistrust in institutions together with rampant
misinformation
- AFRINIC’s issues and potential attempts to similarly disrupt the RIPE NCC
** Economic
- See previous slide - War, sanctions, conflict affecting our ability to
invoice and to do banking normally
- Inflation and increased costs (for everything) for the RIPE NCC
- Economic problems for our members translating into lack of support for
some of our activities, inability for people to attend events, etc.
- Increasing costs of IPv4 pushing people towards IPv6 (e.g. see AWS,
Google now charging for IPv4 but not for IPv6)
- Consolidation in the membership leading to budgetary constraints
- Restoration of EU-UK ties potentially bringing some economic benefits
within the service region
** Social (membership/community)
- See previous slides - conflict causing friction among
members/community, economic difficulties for us and members, etc.
- Difficulties in being neutral and in appearing to be neutral
- Divergence between values of RIPE and societal values - community
decisions could be driven by groups with goals at odds with our
mission/values
- The need to attract a new generation of active participants was
highlighted by many
- Members coming to see the RIPE NCC purely as a service provider
- Difficulties in reaching consensus and in having productive discussions
- Large layoffs in tech sector influencing who comes to our events
- Increasing scarcity of IPv4 leading to dissatisfaction with our role
and lack of engagement among newer members
- Lack of understanding of our processes, governance, funding model, etc.
- Lack of engagement generally
- Communication changes, a distributed community, decreasing use of
email/mailing lists
- Calls for cost reductions are persistent and loud among some groups in
our membership/community
** Technological
- Increased use of AI and automation of processes, including how it
affects current staffing needs
- Increased adoption of IPv6, especially given charging by AWS/Google
for IPv4 and economic difficulties affecting everyone
- Difficulties in a) moving things to the cloud, and b) not moving
things to the cloud
- Potential (esp. with machine learning) to provide much greater value
from our data and information services
- The growth of the Internet making accurate registration difficult
- Ever-increasing focus on security-related matters
- Technological impacts on engagement (email, reduced ability to rely on
social media, use of AI to astroturf mailing lists, etc.)
** Legal
- EU and NL legislation (tax, pensions, whistleblowing, privacy,
sustainability) impacting our operations
- Increase in cybercrime leading to stricter legislation
- More desire from governments to secure the technical, commercial and
governance aspects of the Internet
- Sanctions preventing us from being able to service all members equally
- Authoritarian governments enacting legislation that conflict with our
role as an RIR
- Lack of technical knowledge or inability to activate the community
resulting in bad legislation being passed
- Inability to use technologies linked to countries the EU sees as
unfriendly
- Potential EU court case that would invalidate the safe exchange of
information between the EU and the US
** Environmental
- Climate change leading to more countries in distress and the need to
cater for members in those countries within regular processes
- Legislation on sustainability and environmental matters forcing us to
operate within a certain carbon footprint
- Reduced ability to travel due to increasing costs and also perception
that travel is bad for the environment and unnecessary
- Reduced ability for our community to travel and attend events
- Staff movement - need to hire abroad due to rising costs in the
Netherlands
On 24/10/2023 09:47, Kaj Niemi wrote:
> Hi,
>
>
> Thanks for a comprehensive report as always. They are interesting to read.
>
> Do you think it would be useful to share the PESTEL analysis (slides and/or report, I assume) with the membership? At least I am curious about the factors NCC itself thinks affect it.
>
> Regarding "bigger investment portfolios yield better returns" - I do not think that is how it works.. perhaps something else was originally intended to be written? In terms of return, higher expected returns should equal willingness to accept higher volatility
(risk) in relative terms. The portfolio size itself only amplifies the return, whether positive or negative.
>
>
>
> Kaj
>
> ________________________________
> From: ncc-announce <ncc-announce-bounces@ripe.net> on behalf of Hans Petter Holen <hph+announce@ripe.net>
> Sent: Monday, October 23, 2023 11:42
> To: ncc-announce@ripe.net <ncc-announce@ripe.net>
> Subject: [ncc-announce] [news] 168th RIPE NCC Executive Board Meeting - Summary Notes
>
> Dear RIPE NCC members,
>
> The RIPE NCC Executive Board held its 168th Meeting on 6 October 2023. The minutes are now available.
>
> Minutes of the 168th Meeting:
>
https://eur01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ripe.net%2Fabout-us%2Fexecutive-board%2Fminutes%2F2023%2Fminutes-168th-executive-board-meeting&data=05%7C01%7C%7Cc413fba297144f5f1c3e08dbd5394ff9%7Cd0b71c570f9b4acc923b81d0b26b55b3%7C0%7C0%7C638338214371024002%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C7000%7C%7C%7C&sdata=gbSg7VhnUmHAom6LlzitA45eLoWQVWbYvVF%2FweMXmXk%3D&reserved=0<https://eur01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ripe.net%2Fabout-us%2Fexecutive-board%2Fminutes%2F2023%2Fminutes-168th-executive-board-meeting&data=05%7C01%7C%7Cc413fba297144f5f1c3e08dbd5394ff9%7Cd0b71c570f9b4acc923b81d0b26b55b3%7C0%7C0%7C638338214371024002%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C7000%7C%7C%7C&sdata=gbSg7VhnUmHAom6LlzitA45eLoWQVWbYvVF%2FweMXmXk%3D&reserved=0>
>
> The Executive Board publishes the minutes of its meetings so that the workings of the Board and the decisions it makes are transparent to the membership it represents. The following is a summary of the main items from the meeting. Further details are available
in the minutes.
>
> -----------------------
> Main Items
> -----------------------
>
> - I presented on the status of Objectives and Key Results (OKRs) and planned OKRs for 2024. I also provided insights on staff engagement and presented a Risk Update.
>
> - I updated the Board on the developments around AFRINIC. The Board were pleased to hear that there has been a ruling to appoint an Official Receiver and welcomed the appointment of John Crain as an expert observer to support the Receiver.
>
> - Mirjam Kühne shared her report on developments in the RIPE community.
>
> - The Board discussed whether to continue providing funding support on request for Working Group (WG) Chairs. It was agreed that this encourages potential WG Chairs and to continue this funding for another three years.
>
> - Fergal Cunningham presented the results of a PESTLE analysis carried out with staff in July 2023.
>
> - Fergal presented the findings and key takeaways of the RIPE NCC Survey 2023 and shared the draft report with the Board.
>
> - Fergal also presented the Draft Activity Plan and Budget 2024 and asked the Board for comments before the draft was published to members. The Board reviewed the document and shared feedback.
>
> - Simon-Jan Haytink presented the financial report for August 2023. He also shared the draft budget for 2024 and the status of the Treasury project.
>
> - Athina Fragkouli presented proposed amendments to the Articles of Association on requirements for Executive Board candidates.
>
> - The Board reviewed and agreed to proposed amendments to the RIPE Database Terms and Conditions which include the provision of geolocation information as a purpose of the RIPE Database.
>
> - James Kennedy presented the outcome of the analysis of Membership Non-Payments.
>
> - Fergal shared the draft agenda for the upcoming General Meeting with the regular topics for the Autumn General Meeting.
>
> - Felipe Victolla Silveira presented on the usability of the IPv4 Transfer Broker List provided by the RIPE NCC.
>
> - Felipe also presented a retention strategy for the data from Routing Information Service (RIS) and RIPE Atlas.
>
> ----------------------------
> Resolutions Adopted
> ----------------------------
>
> - The RIPE NCC Executive Board approves the minutes of EB#167.
>
> - The RIPE NCC Executive Board resolves that the RIPE NCC will continue to provide funds for the physical participation of working group chairs at RIPE Meetings in accordance with the relevant published procedure until the end of 2026. The RIPE NCC Executive
Board will re-evaluate this resolution for the RIPE Meetings after 2026.
>
> - The RIPE NCC Executive Board approves an initial investment of 10 M EUR with the investment partner.
>
> - The RIPE NCC Executive Board approves the amendments to the “RIPE Database Terms and Conditions”.
>
> - The RIPE NCC Executive Board approves the amendments to the “RIPE NCC Closure of Members, Deregistration of Internet Resources and Legacy Internet Resources Procedure”.
>
> - The RIPE NCC Executive Board approves the amendments to the “RIPE NCC Website and Publicly Available RIPE NCC Services Terms of Service”.
>
> - The RIPE NCC Executive Board approves the amendments to the “RIPE NCC Privacy Statement”.
>
> - The RIPE NCC Executive Board approves the publication of the draft agenda for the RIPE NCC General Meeting in November 2023.
>
> - The RIPE NCC Executive Board resolves to decommission the IPv4 Transfer Broker List and the IPv4 Transfer Listing service.
>
> Kind regards,
>
> Hans Petter Holen
> Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer
> RIPE NCC
>
>
>
> _______________________________________________
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> members-discuss@ripe.net
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