Hank Nussbacher said:
Needless to say, your numbers do not seem to take in any socio-economic factors.
So don't assign wealth. Use some number that has direct influence on IPv6 usage. Among the possibilities: - # of computer per capita [...]
IPv6 is supposed to last for what, 20 years? 30 years? 40 years? None of these assumptions is going to be valid in this timescale because you have no idea where the economies of countries are going to go. After all, in 1985 none of us would have assumed either the Soviet Union or China would have wanted any IP addresses at all. And people wouldn't even have heard of Kazakhstan. Either population or land area is about the best indicator you're going to get of *eventual* *long-term* demand. -- Clive D.W. Feather | Work: <clive@demon.net> | Tel: +44 20 8495 6138 Internet Expert | Home: <clive@davros.org> | *** NOTE CHANGE *** Demon Internet | WWW: http://www.davros.org | Fax: +44 870 051 9937 Thus plc | | Mobile: +44 7973 377646