Hi Kristoff, What I have learned is exponential growth, plus better forecasts of the consumption rate as the address pool shrinks in size, resulted in bringing the depletion date forecast closer. As for the final rush, RIRs normally require proper forecasts before issuing the v4 addresses so I am not sure if, and how, a rush can happen. Best wsihes, -Ahmed -------------------------------------------------- From: "Kristoff Bonne" <kristoff@belbone.net> Sent: Wednesday, July 14, 2010 12:32 PM To: <ipv6-wg@ripe.net> Subject: Re: [ipv6-wg] IPv4 reaches a milestone: 365 days left
Hi Ahmed,
I noticed that a number of websites that gather information about the IPv4 depletion seams to indicate quite an increase in ipv4 consumation-rate.
But sofar I have not found any information on the reason for this.
Do you have any ideas on this?
Just the economy taking steam again? Normal groth in a number of big markets (especially China)? Or something else? Has the "big final rush" started?
Or both?
Cheerio! Kr. Bonne.
Op 14-07-10 09:50, Ahmed Abu-Abed schreef:
Greetings,
Today the IPv4 counters show there is 1 year left for IANA IPv4 depletion date or X-Day, more details on the IPv6 Forum website.
Note that this is a conservative estimate as a few months ago the prediction was October 2011. A less conservative estimate taking into consideration exponential growth of IPv4 demand on a regional level shows April 2011 for X-Day, more at http://ipv4depletion.com/
Best wishes, -Ahmed
P.S. Download the depletion counter gadgets for Win, Mac and iPhone from http://inetcore.com/project/ipv4ec/index_en.html