Hi Daniel,
So, Are we going to keep 18.11 Million address for new LIRs?. Thats makes 17685 new lirs, way more than double as we have now...sorry but that is ridiculous when we have LIRs with v4 allocation problems.
The RIPE NCC is currently growing with ±1200 new members a year, and that rate is even accelerating a bit. The amount mentioned above will be enough for ±10 years. Of course there will be some extra addresses that are returned to the RIPE NCC, so let's say 10 to 12 years. Can you be completely certain that a new LIR in 2025 won't need *any* IPv4 addresses? The whole internet must have transitioned to IPv6 by then because they won't have any IPv4 addresses for their DNS servers and resolvers, NAT boxes etc. That is why everybody is so careful about this. What you call ridiculous might be less than we might actually need in the long run... Cheers, Sander